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Analysis Of Mundra Port For Investments


About The Company


Mundra Port and SEZ, an Adani group company, is currently the only listed non-captive private sector port. It is engaged in developing, operating and maintaining the Port and port based related infrastructure facilities, including multi-product SEZ. The company recently bagged Mormugao Port coal terminal development on a design build, finance, operate and transfer (DBFOT) basis. With this expansion into Western coast ports with good presence in coal and gas terminals, it will vastly improve the potential of the company.

About The Results


The company has done very well for the first quarter ended 30th June 2009. It posted a net sales of Rs.298.04 crore, rising 18% on a YoY. EBIDTA was up 22% at Rs.220.11 crore. Net profit was up by a healthy 76% at Rs.170.75 crore.

This strong performance has been on the back of strong growth in cargo volumes. While major Indian ports have together shown a growth of 1.9%, Mundra Port has shown a rise of 24% in cargo volumes in Q1 June 2009.

In Q1FY10, there was a 23% (YoY) rise in the number of vessles, which called at the port. There was a 24% rise in total cargo handled at the port at 9.89 mmt. Of this 24% came from coal, 20% from crude, 165 from vegetable oil and chemicals, 26% from container, 5% from fertilizer, 5% from steel and 45 from mineral and others.

About The Stock

My personal opinion on this stock with regard to its’ price performance in short to long term on basis of Fundamental analysis , Technical analysis and exclusive multi bagger reliable news sources are exclusively reserved for the registered member with detailing of the same. Only registered member have right to email me mentioning the name and date of registration to ask for the same.

Disclosure : I do not feel any need of giving any disclosure over here , my personal portfolio are always shared with the members.

Analysis Of India Cements Limited for Investments


About The Company


India Cements, India’s leading cement manufacturer of South India.Indian Cements 1.10 mt capacity went on stream in April 09’. The company is investing Rs 300 crore for establishing a cement plant with an initial capacity of 1.5 million tonnes per annum (tpa) in Rajasthan and this investment is through Indo Zinc. The total project cost is Rs.600 crore and of this, Rs.300 crore it plans to bring in from debt. This is the second foray of the company into north India, its first project is in Himachal Pradesh, which unfortunately has been embroiled in infra bottlenecks. Its unit in Maharashtra is up and running.


Clearly India Cements is breaking its image of being just a South India based company. These forays into other parts of India will thus help the company get a better-rounded growth. Huge capacities are to go on stream in this fiscal, and it will leave the industry with surplus capacities.

About The Financial Results


The company has presented a good set of results for the first quarter ended 30th June 2009. Net revenues were up 9% at Rs 953.48 crore on a YoY. EBITDA/tonne was at Rs 1188 as against Rs 877 on a QoQ while it was at Rs.1092 on YoY. Net profit rose just marginally by 2% at Rs 144.28 crore.


The pressure is more evident on the profit margins. OPM was down to 30% as against 34% in Q1FY09. The quarter saw a sharp rise in ‘other expenses’; it was up YoY by 74%. These expenses included Rs.13.47 crore on account of dry docking expenses on a ship. Its power, fuel and freight costs remained flat when compared on a sequential basis.

The subdued performance was mainly on account of lower demand from parts of Karnataka and Andhra Pradesh. Andhra Pradesh is the largest consumer of cement in South and in Q1, consumption was flat in that region as most of the infra projects were put on hold due to the elections. But now with elections over and done with, it is expected that cement would see a pick up in this current Q2 quarter.

About The Stock

My personal opinion on this stock with regard to its’ price performance in short to long term on basis of Fundamental analysis , Technical analysis and exclusive multi bagger reliable news sources are exclusively reserved for the registered member with detailing of the same. Only registered member have right to email me mentioning the name and date of registration to ask for the same.

Disclosure : I do not feel any need of giving any disclosure over here , my personal portfolio are always shared with the members.

Detail Analysis of Uttam Galva Steel Ltd.


Uttam Galva Steels promoters have signed a co-promotion agreement, with Arcelor Mittal Netherlands (AMN), B.V. Netherlands, which is a 100% indirect subsidiary of Arcelor Mittal, the world’s largest steel manufacturer. Under this, existing promoters will be transferring 5.60% stake to AMN, out of 45.60% held by them.

Though AMN, have not yet acquired 15% or more in the company, but in view of they becoming joint promoters of the company, open offer has been triggered. AMN has made an open offer to acquire 3.52 crore equity shares of the company, at Rs.120 per share, which is opening on Saturday, the 31st October 2009 and closing on 19th November 2009. The present paid up equity capital of the company, is at Rs.119.85 crores, which would eventually rise to Rs.136.73 crores, on conversion of series A, US $ 17.50 million FCCB, at Rs.45.12 per share, with fixed rate of exchange on conversion of Rs.43.53 per U.S. Dollar. Though conversion option of these FCCBs, can be exercised upto 31st July 2010, it is most likely that, this will get exercised in the near future, so as to enable them to participate in the open offer.

Paid up equity of the company, which was at Rs.113.97 crores, got raised to Rs.119.85 crores, on allotment of 58.75 lakh equity shares, on 27th August 2009, to the promoters of the company, on acquiring power division, of Shree Uttam Steel and Power Ltd. Due to this, promoters stake in the company, rose from 40.71% to 45.60%.

With open offer now being made at Rs.120 per share, and share now ruling at Rs.125, with frozen at the upper circuit, commercial sense says that it will not see any response coming in. So does it likely to get revised upwards, the last date for which is 10th November 2009. Quite likely, and the revised price call would be taken at that time, which is likely to be close to the prevailing market price, of the company, at that time.

However, if one sees the present shareholding pattern of the company, 4.40 crore shares, which is about 32.20% of the emerging voting capital, is held by just 5 FIIs. In addition to this, 1.69 crore equity shares, being 12.35%, most likely to get acquired by FCCB holders on conversion, puts it at about 44.50% of the expanded equity base. One knows that, due to overseas presence of the new promoter, it will be easy to acquire the stakes held by these OCBs and FIIs. However, existing promoters of the company have also hinted of AMN, increasing their stake in the company, in the near future.

So can one expect a complete buy-out of the company, by AMN, with 75% stake to be held by them, with 25% remaining with the public, to enable the company to remain listed? This 25% stake may in turn, partly remain to be held by these FIIs or OCBs, with very low Indian public float. Probably, smelling this, the share is seeing renewed buying interest, as future AMN company in India.

The present market capitalization of the company works out at close to Rs.1600 crores, adding debt thereto, of close to Rs.1200 crores, enterprise value of the company works out to Rs.2800 crores. This valuation, definitely appears to be quite stretched, which is over 25 times of its average PAT, of last three years, and considering that the company has never rewarded to its shareholders with the dividend as yet. But, as AMN was unsuccessful in creating its presence on the Indian soil, and especially in the steel sector, it seems that they have overlooked the valuations, or consciously moved to pay Rs.500 crores, or so, more. The company presently has a capacity of 6 lakh TPA and raising it to 8 lakh TPA in this fiscal. With AMN assuming complete control of the company, it can get raised to 2 million tonne plus in next couple of years, at very low cost, due to in-house strength and capability lying with AMN, for various value added products.

This acquisition has one more twist. Bhushan Steel and Uttam Galva promoters are related to each other (Miglani’s son married to Singal’s daughter) and even Bhushan Steel Ltd. may be next on the radar of AMN group. Bhushan Steel is also a one million tonne producer of CR coil, GP/GC and Colour Coated coils. In the recent past, promoters of both these companies, seems to be more bullish on power generation and realty space and have been making huge investments in both these sectors. So maybe, realizations of the stake sale, can give them better returns in these two sectors, instead of continuing in their existing companies.

Keep fingers crossed. If this happens, it will be uttam for the country, and for the shareholders of both the companies. Presence of Mittal Group, in India will see many steel stocks getting re-rated.

Analysis of BASF India For Investments

About The Company

BASF India Limited is the flagship company of the BASF Group in India. The company is listed on the National Stock Exchange and the Bombay Stock Exchange. BASF India Limited is headquartered in Mumbai, with manufacturing facilities in Thane, Mangalore and Dadra.

BASF India Limited manufactures and markets expandable polystyrene, tanning agents, leather chemicals and auxiliaries including specialised metal complexdyes, leather dyes, Textile Chemicals, dispersions and speciality chemicals, acrylic polymers in primary forms and crop protection chemicals.BASF India Limited is also involved in the trading of chemicals including dyestuffs and related textile auxiliaries, and renders technical services to various industries.


About The Financial Results


Given the cyclical nature of its business, the first two quarters of the fiscal, Q1 and Q2 are always good, with Q2 being the best in the year and the worst is Q4. BASF India has posted an ‘Ok’ performance for Q1FY10. It reported a rise of 12% in its net profit for Q1FY10 though total income fell marginally to Rs384.15 crore from Rs385.87 crore in Q1FY09.

The company plans to stop production of agrochemicals at its Dadra site under the company’s rationalisation measures. The company has stated that this will not affect the earnings of the company in any way. Further, to rationalise the company’s manpower needs and to build efficiency, the board has also approved the introduction of voluntary retirement scheme for employees. As a part of its rationalization, the company has removed low margin generic products and has also shifted its resources from cotton to soyabeans, fruits and vegetables which would help boost the margins.

The company is planning to set up a 9000 tpa compounding plant at Thane for the engineering plastics business, costing Rs.17.20 crore which is to be funded mainly via internal accruals.

On consolidated basis, BASF Polyurethanes a wholly owned subsidiary is incurring losses, and BASF SE have expressed their intention to acquire this subsidiary, which if happens, would re-rate the company as also would increase its bottomline even on consolidated basis.

In July 08, Promoters of the company raised their stake from 52.69% to 71.18% by acquiring shares under open offer at Rs.300 per share. Open offer at the time did not evoke full response as insurance companies and financial institutions did not tender shares in open offer and continue to hold about 18% in the company.

About The Stock

My personal opinion on the stock with regard to its’ price performance in short to long term on basis of Fundamental analysis , Technical analysis and my exclusive multi bagger reliable news sources are exclusively reserved for the registered member with detailing of the same. Only registered member have rights to email me mentioning the name and date of registration and asking for the same.

Disclosure : I do not feel any need of giving any disclosure over here , my personal portfolio are always shared with the members.