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Advice On Sail & Adhunik Metaliks


Advice On Steel Authority Of India Ltd.

At the current market price (CMP) of Rs 153.65, the stock is trading at a forward P/E of 10.9x and 10.5x the FY10 and FY11 earnings, respectively. Based on our DCF valuation, we have arrived at a target price of Rs 181 (assuming a 15.4% WACC and a 5% terminal growth rate). At the CMP, the stock provides an upside potentional of 18%. Thus, we give a Buy rating to the stock. As the DCF valuation is sensitive to the changes in WACC and terminal growth rate, we have performed a sensitivity analysis of the same.


Advice On Adhunik Metaliks

AML's increased capacity (steel and ferro alloy) will be fully reflected from FY10 onwards. OMML has also started mining from the Q3 FY09. So, there will be a significant contribution (due to high margins) by OMML towards the consolidated net profit of AML, the full effect would be seen in the FY10E. At the current price of Rs 79.55, the stock is trading at a P/E of 6.1x FY10E & 4.2x FY11E, which we feel is quite undervalued looking at the huge earnings potential of the company & the quantum of mineral resources owned by the company. The current price of Rs.79.55 per share discounts our Target price of Rs.98.90 per share by 24.3%. We Recommend a “HOLD” Rating on the Stock with a Revised price target of Rs.98.90 per share.